What Is the Path to Victory for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in New York?

What Is the Path to Victory for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in New York?

By Bruce Gyory

New York Slant

As the presidential race centers squarely upon New York state, the seminal question becomes, can Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton rebound in their home state?

Just over half of Republican voters statewide live upstate, 30 percent come from the four downstate suburban counties (Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester and Rockland), while 17 percent are from New York City. But, in terms of actual GOP primary turnout, the upstate vote swells to over a 60 percent share and the downstate vote shrinks, especially from New York City.

For Democrats, the primary turnout closely tracks registration. In low-turnout, statewide primaries 50 to 52 percent of Democrats are from New York City, 31 to 32 percent from upstate and 16 to 18 percent from the suburbs, whereas in high-turnout primaries the regional splits are consistently 55 percent from the city, 30 percent upstate and 15 percent from the suburbs.

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